These are the 3 components of selling commodity options successfully:
- Understanding the Power of Seasonal Price Patterns and Trading in Harmony with them.
- Using Market Fundamentals in Price Forecasting.
- Selling only high-probability options Very Far Out-of-the-Money & Ultra-Low-Delta where prices are not likely to go.
1. Understanding the Power of Seasonal Price Patterns:
2. Market Fundamentals in Price Forecasting
How to Find & Use Basic Supply-Demand Data to Help you Determine Where Prices WON’T Go:
The USDA publishes monthly reports (they are free!) that estimate/project: Stocks, Exports, Acres Planted, Estimate Yield, Crop Size, Sales (Shipments of product), and the Ending Stocks (supplies of product on hand = supply.) Here’s a few simple illustrations provided with USDA information and the Kansas State Univ that indicate “Ending Stocks vs. Average Price Expectations” for 2018:
Thousands of Calculations based on Supply-Demand are Used to Construct Charts like this one to produce a very concise snapshot of market fundamentals.
You can easily see how supply-demand data (called ‘market fundamentals’) is used to view a current crop in an historical context.
Reading fundamental data and seasonal price patterns is vital in determining which STRIKES to sell that have a very high probability of expiring worthless.
3. Selling Only Utra-Low-Delta, Far Out-of-the-Money, High-Probability Option Strikes
Here’s how you can get a full five months of our newsletter issues and learn how to use your own “Grains + Brains” to Sell Commodity Options and create a second income:
Each issue has the actual real-time (same day) trades, along with supporting information like price charts, my commentary, fundamental analysis, links to valuable free trading information, and examples and discussions of popular strategies to help you learn the “how & why” of trade selection and money management.
You get at least 3-months of back issues plus a full 60 days of real-time issues, a total of five months of FREE analysis, commentary, charts, and trades in the Time Farming Training Bulletin. No credit card required, only your name and email.
THIS MAY BE THE ONLY NEWSLETTER OF ITS KIND:
It is written specifically for small and medium sized personal investors who trade on-line using any of the popular discount brokers. Now individual investors can use the same math that insurance companies and casinos use to create a second income stream. Professional traders have used these strategies for years and now you can too. Learn to make money even while you sleep. The time has come.
Register now for FREE 5-months of issues, so you can see for yourself if this type of trading is for you. Here’s where to sign up, read more…..
Thank you – Don A. Singletary