These are the 3 components of selling commodity options successfully:

1. Understanding the Power of Seasonal Price Patterns and Trading in Harmony with them.
2. Using Market Fundamentals in Price Forecasting.
3. Selling only high-probability options Very Far Out-of-the-Money & Ultra-Low-Delta where prices are not likely to go.

1. Understanding the Power of Seasonal Price Patterns:

In the second half of the calendar year, Corn prices drop as harvest progresses and risk to the crop is decreasing.

2.  Market Fundamentals in Price Forecasting

How to Find & Use Basic Supply-Demand Data to Help you Determine Where Prices WON’T Go:
The USDA publishes monthly reports (they are free!) that estimate/project: Stocks, Exports, Acres Planted, Estimate Yield, Crop Size, Sales (Shipments of product), and the Ending Stocks (supplies of product on hand = supply.)  Here’s a few simple illustrations provided with USDA information and the Kansas State Univ that indicate “Ending Stocks vs. Average Price Expectations” for 2018:

WHEAT

Thousands of Calculations based on Supply-Demand are Used to Construct Charts like this one to produce a very concise snapshot of market fundamentals. 

CORN

You can easily see how supply-demand data (called ‘market fundamentals’) is used to view a current crop in an historical context.

SOYBEANS

Reading fundamental data and seasonal price patterns is vital in determining which STRIKES to sell that have a very high probability of expiring worthless.

3.  Selling Only Utra-Low-Delta, Far Out-of-the-Money, High-Probability Option Strikes

The free trading software of your on-line discount broker’s software does all the math to allow you to find high probability trades – and we’ll teach you how to do this the easy way in our Time Farming Training Bulletin  A free 60-day trial is available here, read more…

Here’s how you can get a full five months of our newsletter issues and learn how to use your own “Grains + Brains” to Sell Commodity Options and create a second income:

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It is written specifically for small and medium sized personal investors who trade on-line using any of the popular discount brokers.  Now individual investors can use the same math that insurance companies and casinos use to create a second income stream.  Professional traders have used these strategies for years and now you can too.  Learn to make money even while you sleep. The time has come.

Grains + Brains for 2018 Trading

Register now for FREE 5-months of issues, so you can see for yourself if this type of trading is for you.  Here’s where to sign up, read more…..

Thank you – Don A. Singletary

Create your Second Income in 2018

The commentary and examples are for teaching purposes only and are not intended to be a trading or trade advisory service. Any investments, trades, and/or speculations made in light of  the ideas, opinions, and/or forecasts, expressed or implied herein on the web site and/or newsletter, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise. Trading with leverage could lead to greater loss than your initial deposit. Trade at your own risk.   Investors and traders are responsible for their own investment/trading decisions including entries, exits, position, sizing and  use of stops or lack thereof.  This is not a trade advisory service and is for educational purposes only.